Conf = Patriot League State = PA
Nickname = Mountain Hawks Coach = Jill RedfernGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.1600494 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Delaware Colonial (10- 6, 89.2) 7-11 216 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 9- 9, 88.4) 8- 7 225 H Wofford Big South ( 7- 9, 82.5) 15- 9 302 H Old Dominion American ( 3-13, 83.8) 10- 8 309 H American Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, 85.1) 11- 9 312 H Penn State Big Ten (11- 8, 94.0) 7- 9 316 H Georgetown Big East ( 7-11, 90.9) 14-10 323 H Loyola (MD) Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 97.4) 5-11 327 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 5-10, 84.3) 15- 8 330 A Army Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 91.1) 7-19 406 A Boston University Patriot Leagu ( 5-11, 84.5) 14- 8 413 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu (12- 6, 90.0) 11-13 417 A Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 4, 94.9) 4-15 420 A Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 85.7) 14-15 424 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 5-11, 84.7) 10-11 428 A Army Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 91.1) 12-11 502 A Loyola (MD) Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 97.4) 0-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Delaware 7-11 -4 0 - -3.96 216 A Jacksonville 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.03 225 H Wofford 15- 9 6 6 -0.71 302 H Old Dominion 10- 8 2 5 - -3.37 309 H American 11- 9 2 4 - -2.11 312 H Penn State 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.86 316 H Georgetown 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.68 323 H Loyola (MD) 5-11 -6 -8 1.00 327 H Bucknell 15- 8 7 4 + 2.16 330 A Army 7-19 -12 -3 - -3.32 406 A Boston University 14- 8 6 2 + 3.13 413 H Holy Cross 11-13 -2 0 -1.15 417 A Navy 4-15 -11 -7 0.00 420 A Colgate 14-15 -1 1 - -2.70 424 H Lafayette 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.45 428 A Army 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.68 502 A Loyola (MD) 0-18 -18 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Lafayette 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.45 209 H Delaware 7-11 -4 0 - -3.96 302 H Old Dominion 10- 8 2 5 - -3.37 309 H American 11- 9 2 4 - -2.11 330 A Army 7-19 -12 -3 - -3.32 420 A Colgate 14-15 -1 1 - -2.70OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Georgetown 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.68 428 A Army 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.68 216 A Jacksonville 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.03 312 H Penn State 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.86 327 H Bucknell 15- 8 7 4 + 2.16 406 A Boston University 14- 8 6 2 + 3.13
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.28 Power Rank................. 56 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.36 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 50 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5992 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 64 RPI Rating............... .4956 RPI Rank................... 61 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 79 Selection sum ........... 202 Selection Rank ............ 64 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -145. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 72 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -160. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 77 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0